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Basic Economics for Economic Columnists: a Depression is a Process, Not an Event
Health, Politics, World

Basic Economics for Economic Columnists: a Depression is a Process, Not an Event

by DEAN BAKER With the economy going into a shutdown mode for at least month, and possibly quite a bit longer, we’re again hearing the cries from elite economics columnists about a Second Great Depression. These are pernicious, not only because they are wrongheaded, but they can be used to justify bad things, like giving hundreds of billions of dollars to the bankers who wrecked the economy with their recklessness during the housing bubble. The basic and simple error made by the Second Great Depression gang is that they imagine we can be condemned to a prolonged period of high unemployment and slow growth by a single bad event. Their story is that letting the banks fail caused the first Great Depression and that we would have had round two if we let the market work its magic in ...
Health, Politics, World

The Big Hit: COVID-19 and the Economy

by DEAN BAKER Most sectors took a big hit in employment, most concerning is a loss of 42,500 jobs in health care. The impact of the coronavirus shutdowns showed up very clearly in the March data as the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a loss of 701,000 jobs, a decline almost as high as the peaks hit in the housing crash. The unemployment rate jumped 0.9 percentage points to 4.4 percent, while the employment-to-population ratio (EPOP) fell by 1.1 percentage points to 60.0 percent. The size of the impact on the March data is somewhat surprising since the reference period for this report is the pay period that includes March 12. This was well before most states had initiated shutdowns; although it does seem likely that high turnover sectors, like retail and restaurants, would...
Germany Signals a Historic Shift From Austerity That Could Upend the Economy of Europe
Politics, World

Germany Signals a Historic Shift From Austerity That Could Upend the Economy of Europe

by MARSHALL AUERBACK Photograph Source: European Peoples Party – CC BY 2.0 Until March 21, Germany’s policymakers were like the Japanese soldiers who spent years lingering in the jungles of the Philippines, refusing to accept the reality that their country had lost World War II. In the case of Berlin, it was a case of the country stubbornly refusing to abandon six years of fiscal restraint, even as it became clear that such spending would be required to mitigate the impact of a pandemic that was bringing the global economy to a virtual standstill. That all appears to have changed now, with the government announcing a series of proposals that represent in aggregate approximately 10 percent of Germany’s GDP. Part of the package takes the form of direct public spendi...
What Will the Post-COVID-19 Global Economy Look Like?
Health, Politics, World

What Will the Post-COVID-19 Global Economy Look Like?

by MARSHALL AUERBACK The coronavirus has now gone global, and economies are in freefall. The pandemic is clearly the precipitating cause of today’s crisis, but there’s an underlying disease that has been with us for a long time: neoliberal economics. Globalized travel and trade, multinational supply lines, offshoring and overly financialized economies that have prioritized banking interests, cartels and oligarchy above all else have made a large portion of our population highly vulnerable to the effects unleashed by this pandemic. Policymakers have a tricky task ahead of them. The virus has created a supply shock, as businesses have shut down and workers have been told to stay at home. In response, demand is plunging as a result of the lost income and the corresponding collapse ...
Coronavirus Reveals the Cracks in Globalization
Health, Politics, World

Coronavirus Reveals the Cracks in Globalization

by MARSHALL AUERBACK Photograph by Nathaniel St. Clair The coronavirus will eventually pass, but the same cannot be said for the Panglossian phenomenon known as “globalization.” Stripped of the romantic notion of a global village, the ugly process we’ve experienced over the past 40 years has been a case of governmental institutions being eclipsed by multinational corporations, acting to maximize profit in support of shareholders. To billions of us, it has resembled a looting process, of our social wealth, and political meaning. Governments that wanted to stay on top would have to learn to master soft power to learn to be relevant in a globalized world, mostly acting to smooth transactions and otherwise stay out of the way. In a globalized world, nation-states were supposedly ...
Become a Manufacturing Powerhouse in 2020: an Economic Recipe for Our Times
Health, Politics, World

Become a Manufacturing Powerhouse in 2020: an Economic Recipe for Our Times

by MARSHALL AUERBACK Photograph by Nathaniel St. Clair Seldom a day goes by lately without politicians and pundits from countries all over the world calling for re-establishing their manufacturing base to avoid the vulnerabilities exposed in the wake of COVID-19. Whether it be Canada, Australia, the United Kingdom, or the United States, to cite a few examples, the neoliberal agenda of outsourcing manufacturing abroad in search of lower costs for “cheaper goods” now rings as hollow as the debt-ridden economies of their populations. An “every country for itself” attitude is starting to catch on. If an industrialized country can’t supply itself in an emergency, is it truly industrialized? National security dimensions of economic planning that have receded and we...
Lets Rid Ourselves of the War Virus. Liberiamoci del Virus della Guerra
Health, Politics, World

Lets Rid Ourselves of the War Virus. Liberiamoci del Virus della Guerra

Convegno internazionale nel 75° Anniversario della Liberazione By Global Research News TRASMESSO DA BYOBLU e PANDORATV Sabato 25 Aprile 2020 DALLA ORE 15 In Diretta Streaming, 25 Aprile 2020 Click to VIEW at 15pm (Italia, CET), 9am (EST, USA, Canada) April 25, 2020 https://www.byoblu.com *** Il 25 aprile è una data importante nella storia dell’Italia. Commemora il 75 ° anniversario di Liberazione, che è anche l’anniversario della resistenza. L’anno scorso ci siamo incontrati a Firenze il 7 aprile, in coincidenza con il 70 ° anniversario della fondazione della NATO. Il tema della nostra conferenza dell’anno scorso era USCITA NATO. NATO EXIT L’evento è stato organizzato dal Comitato italiano No Guerra, No NATO, in collaborazione con il Centre f...
5 Million Cases Worldwide, 650,000 Deaths Annually
Health, World

5 Million Cases Worldwide, 650,000 Deaths Annually

The Seasonal Flu Virus is a “Serious Concern”, But the Wuhan Coronavirus Grabs the Headlines By Tom Clifford First published on January 27, 2020. Figures quoted for the coranavirus pertain to late January The common flu virus will infect millions across the globe. It can be easily spread and will especially strike the young and the elderly. But this is not what has been described as the Wuhan virus. The common flu is far deadlier. This is not to downplay the Wuhan coronavirus flu, or to give it its medical name, 2019-nCoV. The common flu causes up to 5 million cases of severe illness worldwide and kills up to 650,000 people every year, according to the World Health Organization  In the US: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that&n...
Why Has the Price of Crude Oil Skydived?
Politics, World

Why Has the Price of Crude Oil Skydived?

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), dipped 321% to -40.32/barrel while the global standard, Brent crude futures pared brief gains and edged about 9.5% lower at $25.41/barrel By Azhar Azam On the back of the unprecedented supply glut, sapped demand and filled storage amid the coronavirus pandemic – for the first time in history, the prices of the US crude oil futures tanked to a negative territory, indicating the producers would pay traders for taking the oil off their hands. Prices on the May contract expiring Tuesday for the US-benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), dipped 321% to -40.32/barrel while the global standard, Brent crude futures pared brief gains and edged about 9.5% lower at $25.41/barrel. The June and July WTI contracts also dropped&nb...
Immense Economic Damage of Pandemic
Politics, World

Immense Economic Damage of Pandemic

Immense Economic Damage of Pandemic: Worldwide Economic Collapse Reveals Failure of “Global Capitalism” Is it not time to begin the struggle for an alternative society, based on socialist principles, to consign the attendant failures of capitalism to the dustbin of history? By Dr. Leon Tressell As each day passes by data pours in revealing the immense economic damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Most politicians and economic pundits will put the blame for up the economic hurricane, blasting tens of millions into unemployment, on coronavirus lock downs. Fitch Ratings has given a brief snapshot of the unfolding economic catastrophe which it predicts will last well into the 2020s: “World GDP is now expected to fall by 3.9% in 2020, a recession of unprecedente...