|
.NOVANEWS
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.
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“As you may know, the U.S. and other countries have imposed strict economic sanctions against Iran while that country has nuclear facilities which could eventually allow it to produce its own nuclear weapons. Would you favor or oppose an interim deal that would ease some of those economic sanctions and in exchange require Iran to accept major restrictions on its nuclear program but not end it completely and submit to greater international inspection of its nuclear facilities?”
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|
.
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Favor |
Oppose |
Unsure |
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|
% |
% |
% |
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|
|
ALL
|
56 |
39 |
5 |
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|
Democrats
|
66 |
27 |
8 |
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|
|
Independents
|
55 |
41 |
4 |
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|
Republicans
|
45 |
51 |
4 |
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ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Nov. 14-17, 2013. N=1,006 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.
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.
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“Thinking now about the situation with Iran: Would you support or oppose an agreement in which the United States and other countries would lift some of their economic sanctions against Iran, in exchange for Iran restricting its nuclear program in a way that makes it harder for it to produce nuclear weapons?”
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.
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Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
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|
|
% |
% |
% |
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|
11/14-17/13
|
64 |
30 |
7 |
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.
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“How confident are you that such an agreement would prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons: very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?”
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.
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Very
confident |
Somewhat
confident |
Not so
confident |
Not confident
at all |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/14-17/13
|
4 |
32 |
27 |
34 |
3 |
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|
CNN/ORC Poll. Sept. 27-29, 2013. N=803 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.
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.
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“Would you favor or oppose direct diplomatic negotiations between the U.S. and Iran in an attempt to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons?”
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.
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Favor |
Oppose |
Unsure |
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|
|
% |
% |
% |
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9/27-29/13
|
76 |
21 |
3 |
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10/16-18/09
|
78 |
22 |
1 |
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Gallup Poll. Sept. 15-16, 2013. N=1,010 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.
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.
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“For each of the following countries, please say whether you consider it an ally of the United States, friendly but not an ally, unfriendly, or an enemy of the United States. How about Iran?”
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.
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|
|
An ally |
Friendly but
not an ally |
Unfriendly |
An enemy |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
9/15-16/13
|
2 |
8 |
38 |
45 |
8 |
|
6/1-4/13
|
2 |
8 |
34 |
51 |
5 |
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5/18-21/00
|
3 |
14 |
44 |
34 |
5 |
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CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 31-June 4, 2013. N=1,022 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
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.
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“Which of these comes closest to your opinion? 1. Iran is a threat to the United States that requires military action now. 2. Iran is a threat that can be contained for now. 3. Iran is not a threat to the United States at this time.”
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.
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|
|
Requires
action now |
Can be
contained |
Not a
threat |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
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|
5/31 – 6/4/13
|
15 |
59 |
21 |
5 |
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|
5/03
|
9 |
66 |
18 |
7 |
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|
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|
|
|
.
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|
“Would you favor or oppose the United States taking military action against Iran in order to prevent them from producing a nuclear weapon?”
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|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/31 – 6/4/13
|
58 |
37 |
5 |
|
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|
CNN/ORC Poll. March 15-17, 2013. N=1,021 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
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|
.
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|
“If Israel were to attack Iran to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, then what should the United States do? Should the United States support Israel’s military action, or should the United States not get involved?”
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|
|
|
|
|
.
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|
|
Support
action |
Not get
involved |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/15-17/13
|
49 |
49 |
2 |
|
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|
Pew Research Center. March 13-17, 2013. N=752 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.2.
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.
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|
“In your opinion, which is more important: to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action, OR to avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons?” Options rotated
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|
|
|
.
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|
|
Prevent from
developing
nuclear
weapons |
Avoid military
conflict |
Neither (vol.) |
Both (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
3/13-17/13
|
64 |
25 |
3 |
1 |
7 |
|
2/8-12/12
|
58 |
30 |
2 |
1 |
10 |
|
9/30 – 10/4/09
|
61 |
24 |
4 |
1 |
10 |
|
|
Pew Research Center. Oct. 4-7, 2012. N=1,511 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.9.
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|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking about the dispute over Iran’s nuclear program, which is more important in your opinion — to take a firm stand against Iranian actions, OR, to avoid a military conflict with Iran?” Options rotated
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|
.
|
|
|
To take a
firm stand |
To avoid
military conflict |
Both (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/4-7/12
|
56 |
35 |
1 |
8 |
|
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. March 8-11, 2012. N=1,084 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.
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.
|
|
“Do you support or oppose the United States taking military action against Iran if there is evidence that Iran is building nuclear weapons?”
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|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Neither
(vol.) |
Both (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/8-11/12
|
56 |
39 |
2 |
3 |
|
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.
|
|
“Do you support or oppose Israel taking military action against Iran if there is evidence that Iran is building nuclear weapons?”
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|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Neither
(vol.) |
Both (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/8-11/12
|
62 |
30 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
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|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you support or oppose taking military action against Iran if there is evidence that Iran is building nuclear weapons even if it causes gasoline and fuel prices in the United States to go up?”
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|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Neither
(vol.) |
Both (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/8-11/12
|
53 |
42 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Pew Research Center. March 7-11, 2012. N=1,503 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
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|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How much, if anything, have you read or heard about the dispute over Iran’s nuclear program? Have you heard a lot, a little, or nothing at all?”
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|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
A lot |
A little |
Nothing |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/7-11/12
|
41 |
38 |
21 |
|
|
|
2/8-12/12
|
38 |
39 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Which is your greater concern when it comes to dealing with Iran’s nuclear program — that we will take action too quickly, or that we will wait too long?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Take action
too quickly |
Wait too long |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/7-11/12
|
34 |
54 |
12 |
|
|
|
2/1-5/06
|
34 |
53 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. March 7-11, 2012. N=1,009 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Would you support or oppose the United States taking military action against Iran in order to prevent it from developing a nuclear weapons program?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/7-11/12
|
51 |
36 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“What should the U.S. do if Israel were to attack Iran in order to prevent it from developing a nuclear weapons program? Should the U.S. support Israel’s military action, or should the U.S. not get involved?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Not get
involved |
Oppose
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/7-11/12
|
47 |
42 |
1 |
10 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. March 7-10, 2012. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Based on what you’ve heard or read, do you think Iran is or is not trying to develop nuclear weapons?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Is trying |
Is not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/7-10/12
|
84 |
9 |
8 |
|
|
|
10/15-18/09
|
87 |
8 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“To try to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, would you support or oppose . . . ?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Direct diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran to try to resolve the situation”
|
|
3/7-10/12
|
81 |
16 |
2 |
|
|
|
10/15-18/09
|
82 |
18 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Increasing international economic sanctions against Iran” 2009: “Imposing international economic sanctions against Iran”
|
|
3/7-10/12
|
74 |
21 |
5 |
|
|
|
10/15-18/09
|
78 |
18 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“The United States bombing Iran’s nuclear development sites”
|
|
3/7-10/12
|
41 |
53 |
6 |
|
|
|
10/15-18/09
|
42 |
54 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Would you support or oppose Israel bombing Iran’s nuclear development sites?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/7-10/12
|
42 |
51 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If Israel were to bomb Iran’s nuclear development sites, do you think it would or would not risk starting a larger war in the Middle East?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Would risk
larger war |
Would not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/7-10/12
|
88 |
9 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think it’s a better idea to attack Iran soon, before its nuclear program progresses any further, even if that means not waiting to see if economic sanctions work; or a better idea to see first if economic sanctions against Iran work, even if that allows more time for its nuclear program to progress?” Options rotated
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Attack soon |
See if
sanctions work |
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/7-10/12
|
26 |
64 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Feb. 29-March 3, 2012. N=approx. 400 adults nationwide. RV = registered voters
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|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If Iran continues with its nuclear research and is close to developing a nuclear weapon, do you believe that the United States should or should not initiate military action to destroy Iran’s ability to make nuclear weapons?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/29 – 3/3/12
|
52 |
40 |
8 |
|
|
|
12/7-11/11
|
54 |
38 |
8 |
|
|
|
8/26-30/10
|
52 |
35 |
13 |
|
|
|
3/11, 13-14/10
|
51 |
38 |
11 |
|
|
|
10/22-25/09
|
52 |
37 |
11 |
|
|
|
7/18-21/08 RV
|
41 |
46 |
13 |
|
|
|
3/2-5/07
|
43 |
47 |
10 |
|
|
|
7/10-12/06 |
48 |
40 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Now talking some more about this: If Iran continues with its nuclear research and is close to developing a nuclear weapon, which ONE statement best describes what you think? The U.S. should take direct military action to destroy Iran’s ability to make a nuclear weapon. The U.S. should take no direct military action to destroy Iran’s ability to make a nuclear weapon but should support Israel if it takes military action The U.S. should take stronger diplomatic and economic action to put pressure on Iran but should take no military action. The U.S. should take no action unless Iran attacks the U.S. or its allies.” Options rotated
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Take direct
military action |
Support Israel
if it takes
military action |
Take stronger
diplomatic and
economic action |
Take no
action unless
Iran attacks |
Mixed (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/29 – 3/3/12
|
21 |
26 |
32 |
17 |
4 |
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Feb. 10-13, 2012. N=1,026 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“What do you think the United States should do to get Iran to shut down its nuclear program: take military action against Iran now, use economic and diplomatic efforts but not take military action right now, or take no action against Iran at this time?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Military
action |
Economic and
diplomatic
efforts |
No action |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/10-13/12
|
17 |
60 |
22 |
1 |
|
|
11/18-20/11
|
16 |
65 |
17 |
1 |
|
|
2/12-15/10
|
23 |
63 |
12 |
3 |
|
|
4/21-23/06
|
13 |
63 |
21 |
3 |
|
|
|
Pew Research Center. Feb. 8-12, 2012. N=1,501 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think tougher international economic sanctions on Iran will or will not work in getting Iran to give up its nuclear program?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Will work |
Will not work |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/8-12/12
|
21 |
64 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If Israel were to attack Iran to stop its nuclear weapons program, what position should the U.S. take? Should it support Israel’s military action, oppose Israel’s military action, or should the U.S. stay neutral?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Stay neutral |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/8-12/12
|
39 |
5 |
51 |
4 |
|
|
|
Pew Research Center. Jan. 11-16, 2012. N=1,502 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking about Iran, how much, if anything, have you heard about recent tensions between the U.S. and Iran over Iran’s nuclear program and disputes in the Persian Gulf: a lot, a little, or nothing at all?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
A lot |
A little |
Nothing
at all |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/11-16/12
|
42 |
41 |
15 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“In your opinion, which is more important: to take a firm stand against Iranian actions, or to avoid a military conflict with Iran?” Options rotated
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Take a
firm stand |
Avoid military
conflict |
Neither (vol.) |
Both (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/11-16/12
|
50 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
|
|
CBS News Poll. Nov. 6-10, 2011. N=1,182 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking about Iran, which comes closer to your opinion? Iran is a threat to the United States that requires military action now. Iran is a threat that can be contained with diplomacy now. OR, Iran is not a threat to the United States at this time.”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Military
action now |
Diplomacy
now |
Not a threat |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/6-10/11 |
15 |
55 |
17 |
13 |
|
|
10/5-8/09 |
19 |
57 |
13 |
11 |
|
|
2/18-22/09 |
13 |
58 |
19 |
10 |
|
|
9/21-24/08 |
10 |
61 |
20 |
9 |
|
|
9/4-8/07 |
9 |
59 |
24 |
8 |
|
|
3/26-27/07 |
18 |
54 |
18 |
10 |
|
|
3/7-11/07 |
10 |
65 |
18 |
7 |
|
|
2/23-27/07 |
15 |
57 |
20 |
8 |
|
|
2/8-11/07 |
21 |
57 |
14 |
8 |
|
|
6/10-11/06 |
21 |
55 |
19 |
5 |
|
|
5/4-8/06 |
11 |
58 |
22 |
9 |
|
|
4/28-30/06 |
18 |
58 |
16 |
8 |
|
|
2/22-26/06 |
20 |
55 |
19 |
6 |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. April 6-7, 2010. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you support or oppose the United States taking military action to keep Iran from getting nuclear weapons?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Depends
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/6-7/10
|
65 |
25 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
9/29-30/09
|
61 |
28 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Feb. 12-15, 2010. Adults nationwide.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“What do you think the United States should do to get Iran to shut down its nuclear program: take military action against Iran now, use economic and diplomatic efforts but not take military action right now, or take no action against Iran at this time?” If not take military action or unsure: “Suppose the United States does take economic and diplomatic action, but those efforts do not work. If that happens, do you think the United States should or should not take military action against Iran?” Combined responses. N=522 (Form A), MoE ± 4.5.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Military
Action Now |
Military Action
If Other Efforts
Don’t Work |
No Military
Action |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/12-15/10
|
23 |
36 |
39 |
2 |
|
|
4/21-23/06
|
13 |
30 |
46 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think Iran currently has nuclear weapons, or not?” N=501 (Form B), MoE ± 4.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Currently Has |
Does Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/12-15/10
|
71 |
26 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think Iran currently has nuclear weapons, or not?” If no or unsure: “How likely do you think it is that Iran will have nuclear weapons in the next few years: very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely?” Combined responses. N=501 (Form B), MoE ± 4.5.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Currently Has
From Preceding
Question |
Very
Likely in
Few Years |
Somewhat
Likely in
Few Years |
Somewhat
Unlikely in
Few Years |
Very
Unlikely in
Few Years |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/12-15/10
|
71 |
9 |
12 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 16-18, 2009. Adults nationwide.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Based on what you have heard or read, do you think that the government of Iran is or is not attempting to develop its own nuclear weapons?” N=540 (Form A), MoE ± 4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Is |
Is Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/16-18/09
|
88 |
11 |
2 |
|
|
|
12/6-9/07
|
61 |
33 |
7 |
|
|
|
10/12-14/07
|
77 |
18 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Would you favor or oppose imposing economic sanctions on Iran in an attempt to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons?” N=498 (Form B), MoE ± 4.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/16-18/09
|
77 |
21 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Would you favor or oppose U.S. military action against Iran in an attempt to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons?” N=498 (Form B), MoE ± 4.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/16-18/09
|
54 |
45 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 15-18, 2009. N=1,004 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Based on what you’ve heard or read, do you think Iran is or is not trying to develop nuclear weapons?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Is |
Is not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/15-18/09
|
87 |
8 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“To try to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, would you support or oppose . . . ?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Offering Iran financial incentives such as aid money, or more trade, if it abandons any effort to develop nuclear weapons” Half sample (Form A)
|
|
10/15-18/09
|
30 |
67 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Invading with U.S. forces to remove the Iranian government from power” Half sample (Form B)
|
|
10/15-18/09
|
33 |
62 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Ipsos/McClatchy Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Oct. 1-5, 2009. N=1,296 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.7.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the United States should or should not take any economic or diplomatic action against Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/1-5/09
|
56 |
31 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the United States should or should not take any military action against Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/1-5/09
|
29 |
61 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Would you say that Iran represents a very serious threat to the United States, a moderately serious threat, a slight threat, or no threat at all?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Serious |
Moderately
Serious |
Slight |
None at All |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
10/1-5/09
|
30 |
36 |
19 |
12 |
4 |
|
|
Pew Research Center survey. Sept. 30-Oct. 4, 2009. Adults nationwide.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How much confidence do you have in Barack Obama to do the right thing when it comes to dealing with Iran: a great deal of confidence, a fair amount of confidence, not too much confidence, or no confidence at all?”N=747 (Form 1), MoE ± 4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
A Great
Deal |
A Fair
Amount |
Not Too
Much |
None
at All |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
9/30 – 10/4/09
|
17 |
34 |
24 |
20 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking about Iran for a moment: How much, if anything, have you read or heard about the dispute about Iran’s nuclear program? Have you heard a lot, a little, or nothing at all?” N=1,500, MoE ± 3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
A Lot |
A Little |
Nothing |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/30 – 10/4/09
|
41 |
41 |
18 |
– |
|
|
9/06
|
41 |
44 |
14 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“From what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the United States negotiating directly with Iran over the issue of its nuclear program?” N=747 (Form 1), MoE ± 4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Approve |
Disapprove |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/30 – 10/4/09
|
63 |
28 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“From what you know, do you think the United States negotiating directly with Iran will or will not work in getting Iran to give up its nuclear program?” N=753 (Form 2), MoE ± 4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Will |
Will Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/30 – 10/4/09
|
22 |
64 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Would you approve or disapprove of tougher international economic sanctions on Iran?” N=747 (Form 1), MoE ± 4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Approve |
Disapprove |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/30 – 10/4/09
|
78 |
12 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think tougher international economic sanctions on Iran would or would not work in getting Iran to give up its nuclear program?” N=753 (Form 2), MoE ± 4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Would |
Would Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/30 – 10/4/09
|
32 |
56 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
CBS News Poll. July 9-12, 2009. N=944 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking now about Iran. When it comes to the protestors there who are challenging the results of Iran’s recent presidential election, do you think Barack Obama is giving them too much support, giving them too little support, or is he giving the protestors in Iran about the right amount of support?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Too Much |
Too Little |
Right Amount |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/9-12/09
|
13 |
15 |
56 |
16 |
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. June 26-28, 2009. N=1,026 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Would you say that the following represent a very serious threat to the United States, a moderately serious threat, just a slight threat, or no threat at all? Iran.”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Serious |
Moderately
Serious |
A Slight
Threat |
No Threat |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/26-28/09
|
43 |
36 |
13 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama has responded to the recent events in Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Approve |
Disapprove |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/26-28/09
|
61 |
36 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the comments that Barack Obama has made in criticizing the current leaders of Iran have gone too far, have not gone far enough, or are about right?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Too Far |
Not Far
Enough |
About
Right |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/26-28/09
|
9 |
33 |
56 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the U.S. government should openly support the demonstrators who are protesting the recent election in that country, or do you think the U.S. should not directly intervene in the situation in Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Openly
Support |
Not Directly
Intervene |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/26-28/09
|
24 |
74 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the U.S. should or should not take any economic or diplomatic action against Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/26-28/09
|
42 |
54 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the U.S. government should or should not take any military action against Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/26-28/09
|
16 |
82 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the results of the recent election that were released by the Iranian government were an accurate reflection of how Iranians voted, or do you think those results were a fraud that were an attempt by the government to steal the election?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Accurate |
Fraud |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/26-28/09
|
10 |
82 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“What has your personal reaction been to the way the Iranian leaders have dealt with the demonstrators in that country? Would you say you are outraged, or are you upset but not outraged, or are you not upset?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Outraged |
Upset |
Not Upset |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/26-28/09
|
30 |
55 |
13 |
2 |
|
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. April 22-26, 2009. N=973 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the United States should or should not establish diplomatic relations with Iran while Iran has a nuclear program?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/22-26/09
|
53 |
37 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. April 3-5, 2009. Adults nationwide.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Which comes closest to your view? Iran poses an immediate threat to the United States. Iran poses a long-term threat to the U.S., but not an immediate threat. OR, Iran does not pose a threat to the United States at all.” N=510 (Form A), MoE ± 4.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Immediate
Threat |
Long-term
Threat |
Not a Threat
At All |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/3-5/09
|
22 |
60 |
17 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think Obama administration officials should hold diplomatic talks with the leaders of Iran in the next few weeks, or should they wait to hold diplomatic talks with Iran until that country makes significant changes in its policies towards other countries?” N=513 (Form B), MoE ± 4.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Hold Talks |
Wait to
Hold Talks |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/3-5/09
|
59 |
40 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 1, 2009. N=1,027 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Turning for a moment to U.S. relations with Iran: Do you think the United States should or should not engage in direct diplomacy with Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/30 – 2/1/09
|
56 |
38 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Dec. 1-2, 2008. N=1,096 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“After Barack Obama becomes president, do you think he should meet with the leader of Iran without any preconditions, or do you think Obama should meet with the leader of Iran only if Iran agrees to change some of its policies, or do you think Obama should not meet with the leader of Iran regardless of what the Iranian government might agree to do?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Meet Without
Preconditions |
Meet if Iran
Changes Policies |
Do Not Meet |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/1-2/08
|
34 |
42 |
22 |
2 |
|
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. Nov. 2-4, 2007. N=1,024 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Turning now to Iran — What do you think the United States should do to get Iran to shut down its nuclear program: take military action against Iran, or rely mainly on economic and diplomatic efforts?” Options rotated
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Military
Action |
Economic/
Diplomatic
Efforts |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/2-4/07
|
18 |
73 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Suppose U.S. economic and diplomatic efforts do not work. If that happens, do you think the United States should or should not take military action against Iran?” Among those who answered economic/diplomatic efforts (N=877, MoE ± 4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/2-4/07
|
34 |
55 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How concerned are you that the U.S. will be too quick to use military force in an attempt to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Concerned |
Somewhat
Concerned |
Not Too
Concerned |
Not at All
Concerned |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/2-4/07
|
42 |
34 |
14 |
8 |
1 |
|
2/9-12/06
|
34 |
35 |
20 |
10 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How concerned are you that the U.S. will not do enough to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Concerned |
Somewhat
Concerned |
Not Too
Concerned |
Not at All
Concerned |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
11/2-4/07
|
33 |
40 |
17 |
9 |
2 |
|
2/9-12/06
|
26 |
41 |
24 |
6 |
2 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 12-14, 2007. N=1,212 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If the U.S. government decides to take military action in Iran, would you favor or oppose it?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
.
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
.
|
|
10/12-14/07
|
29 |
68 |
4 |
|
.
|
|
5/4-6/07
|
33 |
63 |
4 |
|
.
|
|
1/19-21/07
|
26 |
68 |
6 |
|
.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Based on what you have heard or read, do you think that the government of Iran is or is not attempting to develop its own nuclear weapons?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Is |
Is Not |
Unsure |
|
.
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
.
|
|
10/12-14/07
|
77 |
18 |
5 |
|
.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Based on what you have heard or read, do you think that the government of Iran is or is not providing weapons and other support to the insurgents who are fighting the U.S. troops in Iraq?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Is |
Is Not |
Unsure |
|
.
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
.
|
|
10/12-14/07
|
82 |
13 |
4 |
|
.
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Sept. 25-26, 2007. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you believe Iran’s nuclear program is for peaceful purposes or military purposes?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Peaceful |
Military |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/25-26/07
|
6 |
80 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you believe the United States should take a softer line with Iran, including more diplomacy, or take a tougher line, including military action if necessary?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Softer Line |
Tougher Line |
Same as
Now (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/25-26/07
|
31 |
50 |
8 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If diplomacy fails to convince Iran to end its nuclear program before President Bush leaves office, which of the following actions would you prefer? Do you think President Bush should take military action to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities before his term ends, or let the next president, whoever that may be, deal with Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Take Military
Action |
Let Next
President
Deal with Iran |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/25-26/07
|
29 |
54 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. Sept. 4-8, 2007. N=1,035 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking now about Iran. How closely have you been following news about recent talks between Iran and the United States? Have you been following it very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not at all?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very Closely |
Somewhat
Closely |
Not Too
Closely |
Not at All |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/4-8/07 |
8 |
30 |
39 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“To the best of your knowledge, do you think Iran is currently providing weapons to insurgents in Iraq, or isn’t Iran doing that?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Is |
Is Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/4-8/07
|
67 |
10 |
23 |
|
|
|
3/26-27/07
|
65 |
12 |
23 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. May 4-6, 2007. N=1,028 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“For each of the following countries, please say whether you consider it an ally of the United States, friendly but not an ally, unfriendly, or an enemy of the United States. Iran.”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Ally |
Friendly |
Unfriendly |
Enemy |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
5/4-6/07
|
3 |
12 |
36 |
46 |
3 |
|
12/15-17/06
|
4 |
14 |
29 |
48 |
5 |
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. March 7-11, 2007. N=1,362 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“As you may know, members of the Bush Administration have accused Iran of supporting Iraqi insurgents by supplying them with weapons to use against American forces. When members of the Bush Administration talk about Iran’s involvement in Iraq, do you think they are telling the entire truth, mostly telling the truth but hiding something, OR are they mostly lying?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Entire Truth |
Hiding
Something |
Mostly Lying |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/7-11/07 |
14 |
56 |
24 |
6 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). March 2-5, 2007. N=1,007 adults nationwide.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If Iran is responsible for providing insurgents with technology being used in roadside bombs in Iraq, do you believe that the United States should or should not initiate military action to destroy Iran’s ability to provide this latest technology to Iraq?” Half-sample
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
3/2-5/07
|
55 |
45 |
|
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 22-25, 2007. N=1,082 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“The Bush Administration has charged that Iran is supporting insurgent attacks against American forces in Iraq. Do you feel the Bush Administration does or does not have solid evidence that Iran is doing this?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Does |
Does Not |
Unsure |
|
.
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
.
|
|
2/22-25/07
|
47 |
44 |
9 |
|
.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How confident are you that the Bush Administration will do a good job handling current tensions with Iran: very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Confident |
Somewhat
Confident |
Not So
Confident |
Not at All
Confident |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/22-25/07
|
11 |
30 |
24 |
34 |
1 |
|
|
Pew Research Center. Feb. 7-11, 2007. N=1,509 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking about Iran for a moment — How much, if anything, have you read or heard about reports that Iran may be providing weapons to insurgent groups in Iraq . . . ?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
A Lot |
A Little |
Nothing
At All |
Unsure |
.
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
.
|
|
2/7-11/07
|
34 |
43 |
22 |
1 |
.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“In your opinion, which is more important: to take a firm stand against Iranian actions or to avoid a military conflict with Iran?” Options rotated
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Take a
Firm Stand |
Avoid
Conflict |
Neither (vol.) |
Both (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/7-11/07
|
43 |
43 |
1 |
1 |
12 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 16-19, 2007. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Now, thinking about Iran: In dealing with Iran, do you think the Bush Administration is being too confrontational, not confrontational enough, or handling it about right?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Too
Confrontational |
Not
Confrontational
Enough |
About Right |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/16-19/07
|
30 |
24 |
37 |
9 |
|
|
|
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 19-20, 2006. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Have you seen or heard any news about Iran and its nuclear weapons program, or not?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Have |
Have Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/19-20/06
|
62 |
36 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Please tell me whether or not you would support the following kinds of U.S. military action against Iran if that country continues its efforts to develop nuclear weapons. What about . . . ?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Would
Support |
Would Not
Support |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Air strikes against military targets and suspected nuclear sites in Iran
|
|
10/19-20/06
|
38 |
54 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
Sending in U.S. ground troops to take control of the country |
|
10/19-20/06
|
18 |
76 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. June 24-27, 2006. N=1,321 adults nationwide. Margin of error ±3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
“Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iran’s nuclear weapons program?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
|
Approve |
Disapprove |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/24-27/06
|
40 |
31 |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
“Overall, taking into consideration everything you have heard or read about the situation with Iran, do you think Iran will be stopped from getting nuclear weapons through diplomatic solutions, or only through military action, or do you think Iran will eventually get nuclear weapons?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
|
Stopped
Through
Diplomacy |
Stopped
Through
Military Action |
Will Get
Nuclear
Weapons |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/24-27/06
|
16 |
16 |
56 |
12 |
|
|
4/8-11/06 |
15 |
12 |
61 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
“If Iran continues to produce material that can be used to develop nuclear weapons, would you support or oppose the U.S. taking military action against Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/24-27/06
|
52 |
37 |
11 |
|
|
|
4/8-11/06 |
48 |
40 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 4-8, 2006. N=1,241 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking now about Iran. How much have you heard or read about Iran’s nuclear weapons program: a lot, some, not much or nothing so far?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
A Lot |
Some |
Not Much |
Nothing |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/4-8/06 |
26 |
43 |
21 |
10 |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. May 2-3, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Which one of the following best describes your view of the danger Iran poses to the United States today? A clear and present danger. A threat in the near future. A threat further down the road. Not a threat at all.”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Present
Danger |
Threat in
Near Future |
Threat Further
Down Road |
Not a
Threat |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
5/2-3/06
|
24 |
33 |
30 |
10 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If there is any chance of Iran getting nuclear weapons before President Bush leaves office, do you support him taking U.S. military action against Iran, or not?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Don’t Support |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/2-3/06
|
48 |
44 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Last week the president of Iran said resolutions by the United Nations Security Council could not make Iran give up its nuclear program, saying quote, ‘The Iranian nation won’t give a damn about such useless resolutions.’ Do you think the United Nations should still try diplomacy, or given Iran’s defiant rhetoric do you think the United Nations should at a minimum impose economic sanctions on Iran right away?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Still Try
Diplomacy |
Impose
Sanctions |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/2-3/06
|
39 |
51 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you trust Iran to tell the truth about the purpose of its nuclear technology program?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/2-3/06
|
12 |
85 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the United Nations can stop Iran from building nuclear weapons?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/2-3/06
|
22 |
74 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If Iran gets nuclear weapons and President Bush has not used military force against Iran to stop them, will you feel that he did the right thing by not using force, even though Iran did get nuclear weapons, OR failed in his duty to protect the United States by not using force?” Options rotated
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Did Right
Thing |
Failed in
His Duty |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/2-3/06
|
44 |
35 |
21 |
|
|
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. April 28-30, 2006. N=1,011 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
| “Turning now to Iran — How confident are you in the United Nations to handle the situation relating to Iran’s nuclear program: very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?” |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Confident |
Somewhat
Confident |
Not Too
Confident |
Not at All
Confident |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/28-30/06
|
5 |
28 |
36 |
31 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Suppose all economic and diplomatic efforts fail to get Iran to shut down its nuclear program. If that happens, do you think the United States should or should not take military action against Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/28-30/06
|
36 |
57 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). April 21-24, 2006. N=1,005 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Now I’d like to ask you about recent news regarding the country of Iran. How much have you seen, read, or heard recently regarding Iran taking steps to resume research on nuclear fuel: a lot, some, not very much, or nothing at all?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
A Lot |
Some |
Not Very
Much |
Nothing
At All |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/21-24/06 |
43 |
32 |
17 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If Iran continues with its nuclear research and is close to developing a nuclear weapon, do you believe that the United States should or should not initiate military action to destroy Iran’s ability to make nuclear weapons?” Half-sample (Form A)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
Depends (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/21-24/06 |
42 |
46 |
5 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If Iran continues with its nuclear research and is close to developing a nuclear weapon, do you believe that the United States should join a coalition of other countries to initiate military action to destroy Iran’s ability to make nuclear weapons?” Half-sample (Form B)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Should |
Should Not |
Depends (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/21-24/06 |
48 |
42 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. April 18-19, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Last week the president of Iran announced that Iran has begun enriching uranium and said his country had ‘joined the club’ of nuclear nations. The current U.S. position is to try to find diplomatic solutions, but to keep military action as an option. Do you agree or disagree with this position?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Agree |
Disagree |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/18-19/06 |
62 |
27 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the United States currently has the military strength to defeat Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/18-19/06 |
56 |
34 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think it would be responsible or irresponsible for the United States to have war plans for Iran already prepared?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Responsible |
Irresponsible |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/18-19/06 |
67 |
26 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the United States could co-exist with a nuclear Iran or not?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Could |
Could Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/18-19/06 |
44 |
40 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the United States will eventually have to take military action against Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
4/18-19/06 |
47 |
37 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. April 8-11, 2006. N=1,357 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
“Generally speaking, do you trust George W. Bush to make the right decision about whether we should go to war with Iran, or not?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
|
Trust |
Do Not Trust |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL adults |
42 |
54 |
4 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
8 |
89 |
3 |
|
|
|
Independents |
40 |
54 |
6 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
82 |
15 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
“Would you say that what has happened over the past three years with the war in Iraq has influenced the way you feel about the U.S. taking military action against Iran, or has it not influenced the way you feel?” If influenced: “Has the war in Iraq made you more or less supportive of U.S. military action against Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
|
More
Supportive |
Less
Supportive |
Has Not
Influenced |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/8-11/06 |
17 |
40 |
38 |
5 |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. March 14-15, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Now thinking about Iran: Which one of the following do you think is the most likely outcome for the situation with Iran trying to obtain nuclear weapons? (1) Iran will be stopped from getting nuclear weapons through diplomatic solutions. (2) Iran will be stopped from getting nuclear weapons through military action. (3) Iran will eventually get nuclear weapons.”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Stopped:
Diplomatic
Solutions |
Stopped:
Military
Action |
Will Get
Nuclear
Weapons |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
3/14-15/06 |
22 |
26 |
42 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If diplomacy fails, which of the following U.S. military actions would you support to stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons? Would you support [see below]?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
“Using only airstrikes, but no ground troops”
|
|
3/14-15/06 |
54 |
35 |
11 |
|
|
|
1/24-25/06 |
51 |
34 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Using airstrikes and ground troops”
|
|
3/14-15/06 |
42 |
48 |
10 |
|
|
|
1/24-25/06 |
46 |
42 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Using whatever military force is necessary”
|
|
3/14-15/06 |
50 |
42 |
8 |
|
|
|
1/24-25/06 |
59 |
33 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
| “How likely do you think it is that the United States will be forced to take military action against Iran in the next year . . . ?” |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Likely |
Somewhat
Likely |
Not Very
Likely |
Not at All
Likely |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
3/14-15/06 |
19 |
38 |
22 |
14 |
7 |
|
|
CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 9-12, 2006. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Now, turning to Iran — What do you think the United States should do to get Iran to shut down its nuclear program: take military action against Iran now, use economic and diplomatic efforts but not take military action right now, or take no action against Iran at this time?” Options rotated
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Military
Action Now |
Economic/
Diplomatic
Efforts |
No Action
At This Time |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/9-12/06
|
9 |
68 |
18 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How confident are you in the Bush Administration’s ability to handle the situation in Iran: very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Confident |
Somewhat
Confident |
Not Too
Confident |
Not at All
Confident |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/9-12/06
|
17 |
28 |
27 |
28 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How confident are you in the United Nations’ ability to handle the situation in Iran: very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Confident |
Somewhat
Confident |
Not Too
Confident |
Not at All
Confident |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
2/9-12/06
|
8 |
39 |
27 |
24 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Suppose Iran DOES develop nuclear weapons. Just your best guess, how likely is it that [see below]: very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Likely |
Somewhat
Likely |
Not Too
Likely |
Not at All
Likely |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Iran would provide a nuclear weapon to terrorists who would use it against the United States”
|
|
2/9-12/06
|
50 |
30 |
12 |
6 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Iran would provide a nuclear weapon to terrorists who would use it against Israel”
|
|
2/9-12/06
|
49 |
32 |
12 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“The Iranian government would use nuclear weapons against Israel”
|
|
2/9-12/06
|
41 |
36 |
15 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“The Iranian government would use nuclear weapons against the United States”
|
|
2/9-12/06
|
30 |
29 |
26 |
12 |
2 |
|
|
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Feb. 1-5, 2006. Adults nationwide.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking about IRAN for a moment — The Iranian government recently said it will resume research on nuclear technology, despite opposition from other countries. How much, if anything, have you read or heard about this . . . ?” N=1,502, MoE ± 3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
A Lot |
A Little |
Nothing
At All |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/1-5/06 |
32 |
46 |
21 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Who should take the lead in dealing with Iran’s nuclear program: the United States or countries in the European Union?” Options rotated. N=757, MoE ± 4 (Form 1).
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
U.S. |
E.U. |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/1-5/06 |
30 |
51 |
11 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Who should take the lead in dealing with Iran’s nuclear program: the United States or the United Nations?” Options rotated. N=745, MoE ± 4 (Form 2).
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
U.S. |
U.N. |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/1-5/06 |
17 |
78 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If Iran were to develop nuclear weapons, do you think they would be likely to [see below] or not?” N=1,502, MoE ± 3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Likely |
Not Likely |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
“Provide nuclear weapons to terrorist organizations”
|
|
2/1-5/06 |
82 |
11 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Attack Israel”
|
|
2/1-5/06 |
72 |
16 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Attack the U.S. or European nations”
|
|
2/1-5/06 |
66 |
26 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 23-26, 2006. N=1,002 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Iran says it is refining uranium to use in nuclear power plants. Other countries are concerned Iran may also use this uranium in nuclear weapons. To try to prevent Iran from developing nuclear technology, would you support or oppose imposing international economic sanctions against Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/23-26/06
|
71 |
26 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“To try to prevent Iran from developing nuclear technology, would you support or oppose the United States bombing Iran’s nuclear development sites?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/23-26/06
|
42 |
54 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 24-25, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Iran says it wants to use uranium enrichment for peaceful purposes, such as nuclear power generation, but some believe Iran wants to use the uranium for military purposes, such as to build a nuclear weapons program. Which do you believe is more likely — Iran wants uranium for peaceful purposes or military purposes?” Options rotated
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Peaceful
Purposes |
Military
Purposes |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/24-25/06 |
8 |
82 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Which one of the following best describes your view of the danger Iran poses to the United States today? An immediate threat. A threat in the near future. A threat further down the road. Not a threat at all.”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Immediate
Threat |
Threat in
Near Future |
Threat Down
The Road |
Not a Threat
At All |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/24-25/06 |
16 |
40 |
34 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think Iran currently has a nuclear weapons program?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/24-25/06 |
68 |
18 |
14 |
|
|
|
1/25-26/05 |
60 |
23 |
18 |
|
|
|
10/28-29/03 |
57 |
24 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How confident are you in the ability of the Bush Administration to handle the situation with Iran: very confident, somewhat confident, not very confident, or not at all confident?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Confident |
Somewhat
Confident |
Not Very
Confident |
Not at All
Confident |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/24-25/06 |
24 |
30 |
17 |
26 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How confident are you in the ability of the United Nations to handle the situation with Iran: very confident, somewhat confident, not very confident, or not at all confident?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Confident |
Somewhat
Confident |
Not Very
Confident |
Not at All
Confident |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/24-25/06 |
11 |
35 |
22 |
27 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think Iran is more of a threat or less of a threat to the world today than Iraq was before the United States took military action to remove Saddam Hussein?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
More |
Less |
Same (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/24-25/06 |
47 |
25 |
19 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
| “If Iran obtains nuclear weapons, how concerned are you that it would [see below]: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not very concerned, or not at all concerned?” |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Concerned |
Somewhat
Concerned |
Not Very
Concerned |
Not at All
Concerned |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
“Supply nuclear weapons to terrorists”
|
|
1/24-25/06 |
68 |
23 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Attack a neighboring country”
|
|
1/24-25/06 |
54 |
27 |
8 |
7 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Attack the United States”
|
|
1/24-25/06 |
47 |
26 |
16 |
8 |
3 |
|
|
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. Jan. 22-25, 2006. N=1,555 adults nationwide. Margin of error ±3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“If Iran continues to produce material that can be used to develop nuclear weapons, would you support or oppose the U.S. taking military action against Iran?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/22-25/06 |
57 |
33 |
10 |
|
|
|
| CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Jan. 20-22, 2006. Adults nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Turning now to Iran — Which comes closest to your view: Iran poses an immediate threat to the United States, Iran poses a long-term threat to the U.S. but not an immediate threat, or Iran does not pose a threat to the United States at all?” Options rotated. N=1,006, MoE ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Immediate
Threat |
Long-Term
Threat |
No Threat
At All |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/20-22/06 |
19 |
65 |
12 |
5 |
|
|
5-6/03 |
13 |
64 |
20 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How worried are you about Iran’s ability to develop nuclear weapons: very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?” N=506, MoE ± 5 (Form A)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Very
Worried |
Somewhat
Worried |
Not Too
Worried |
Not At All
Worried |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
1/20-22/06 |
27 |
47 |
19 |
6 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Based on what you have heard or read, do you think that the government of Iran is or is not attempting to develop its own nuclear weapons?” N=500, MoE ± 5 (Form B)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Is |
Is Not |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/20-22/06 |
80 |
12 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 25-26, 2005. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Do you think the United States should take military action to keep Iran from developing or trying to develop a nuclear weapons program?”
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
1/25-26/05 |
41 |
46 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. June 27-29, 2003. Nationwide:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking for a moment about Iran: As you may know, the U.S. believes Iran is either providing assistance to terrorists or attempting to develop weapons of mass destruction. Do you think the United States should or should not go to war with Iran?”Form A (N=483, MoE ± 5)
|
|
|
Should |
Should
Not |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/27-29/03 |
27 |
67 |
6 |
|
|
|
4/10/03 |
24 |
69 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How likely do you think it is that Iran is developing weapons of mass destruction: very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely?” Options rotated; Form B (N=520, MoE ± 5)
|
|
|
Very
Likely |
Somewhat
Likely |
Not Too
Likely |
Not At All
Likely |
No
Opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/27-29/03 |
46 |
38 |
11 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“How likely do you think it is that Iran is providing assistance to terrorists: very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely?“ Options rotated; Form B (N=520, MoE ± 5)
|
|
|
Very
Likely |
Somewhat
Likely |
Not Too
Likely |
Not At All
Likely |
No
Opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
6/27-29/03 |
58 |
31 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 18-22, 2003. N=1,024 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“Thinking about another country in the region, would you support or oppose the United States taking military action against Iran to prevent it from developing nuclear weapons?”
|
|
|
Support |
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/03 |
56 |
38 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
The Los Angeles Times Poll. April 2-3, 2003. N=745 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
.
|
|
“There is evidence that Iran is developing nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction. Do you think the U.S. should or should not take military action against Iran if they continue to develop these weapons?”
|
|
|
Should |
Should
Not |
Don’t
Know |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
ALL |
50 |
36 |
14 |
|
|
|
Democrats |
52 |
38 |
10 |
|
|
|
Independents |
45 |
44 |
11 |
|
|
|
Republicans |
59 |
30 |
11 |
|
|
|
| Gallup Poll. Feb. 4-6, 2002. N=1,011 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
|
.
|
| “Next, I’d like your overall opinion of some foreign countries. Is your overall opinion of Iran very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable?” |
|
|
Very
Favorable |
Mostly
Favorable |
Mostly
Unfavorable |
Very
Unfavorable |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/02 |
2 |
9 |
46 |
38 |
5 |
|
|
2/01 |
2 |
10 |
45 |
38 |
5 |
|
|
3/89 |
1 |
4 |
27 |
62 |
6 |
|
|
|